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boeing plane
AEROSPACE

sector Overview:

In the commercial airliner market, Boeing and Airbus have been head to head for several years now, each trying to outperform the other in terms of both new orders and deliveries. Airbus has been pushing the A380 ‘super-jumbo’ as the ultimate large-scale airliner capable of moving hundreds of people at a time between major hubs, while Boeing have gone for the 787 Dreamliner which is designed for arguably more flexible and more economic point to point routes. Both have won orders, both have experienced delays and both are keen to promote their individual benefits. Airbus was first to market with fly-by-wire electronics that revolutionised the cockpit while Boeing has been pushing new materials as a key differentiator. However, while these two have been battling with each other both openly and behind the scenes in political circles, other upstarts have been making a strong push in attractive segments. Most notably Bombardier and Embraer have been successfully launching new products into the fast growing regional-jet markets.

In the military world, flattening defence budgets, the escalating costs of Iraq and Afghanistan and shifting future priorities for the world’s major powers are all having an impact on the sector. Although the largest military order in history - that for the $200bn Joint Strike Fighter contract is keeping Lockheed and its main suppliers busy, large-scale, future manned fighter development is open to question. With the use of sophisticated unmanned drones such as the Predator increasingly being used in many conflict areas, the appetite for risking pilots’ lives is on the decline. In addition, on the back of the huge success of the Mars Rover robotic vehicles, even NASA is favouring unmanned space flight for much of the near-term future exploration projects. Although the International Space Station and potential moon bases keep astronauts in the public eye, for the majority of applications robots are cheaper and more reliable.

Across both segments of the sector, there are also a number of principal suppliers which have increasing influence. These include the likes of Smiths Industries and Honeywell in the avionics arena and GE and Rolls-Royce in the design and manufacture of engines. Both of these companies have been highly successful in creating significant after-sales support services such as TotalCare which now accounts for over half of Rolls-Royce’s revenues and most of its profits. Even in this sector, innovation in services is having as much impact as product and technology innovation.

ONES WE ARE WATCHING

 

Embraer
Embraer, the Brazilian manufacturer of regional jets, is going from strength to strength and has now sold over 1000 of its ERJ product. With net sales of over $5bn in 2007 and net income of just under $0.5bn, its 170/190 ranges of commercial airliners have been a huge success with new orders from airlines including KLM, Lufthansa, Virgin Nigeria and TACA. Moreover, riding the fractional ownership wave created by the likes of Net-Jets in the rapidly expanding executive jet market, Embraer’s Phenom family now has over 700 orders. Add to this the recent creation of an after-sales services business, and Embraer is now a major player on the world aviation stage.

EADS
Airbus manufacturer EADS is again in the midst of politically driven reorganisation but it has some excellent new products. Unlike the 787, the A380 is flying, albeit a bit later than promised, and orders for this mammoth product are being fulfilled. At this same time the A350 is in development and, in the military arena, EADS’s probable success in winning the second-biggest military procurement contract of all time for aerial-refuelling tankers is causing ructions in Washington. Yes, EADS is allegedly subsidised by the French and German governments but the Pentagon usually gives Boeing a helping hand. EADS is resurgent and, with a proactive policy towards China, tipped for growth.

 

 

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